Possible Triple Phased Superstorm

CasualBystander

CasualBystander

Celestial
Caeldeth said:
DC is not out of the woods just yet. This will be a "nowcast" storm. It's so strong computer models and weathermen who have been forecasting for many years don't even know what this storm is going to do. They simply have never seen anything like it.
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Well...

Atmospheric conditions are quasi-chaotic so it is too early for a victory dance.

The last prediction I saw had it too far out to sea to be truly devastating.

But a tongue of tropical air driving north into a polar air mass does have potential.

Whether or not it gets sucked/driven inland as you believe will significantly affect the outcome.
 
Caeldeth

Caeldeth

Noble
So it begins... I fully expect this to become a warning by tonight rolls around. Track keeps going further to the west.

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM NOON THURSDAY TO 7 AM EST FRIDAY......WIND CHILL WARNING IN EFFECT FROM LATE THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING...

* WHAT...Snow and blowing snow expected. Dangerously cold wind chills. Plan on difficult travel conditions, including during the evening commute on Thursday. Total snow accumulations of 4 to 8 inches, with localized amounts up to 12 inches, are expected. Wind chills could range from 40 below zero to 80 below zero.

* WHERE...All of Vermont.

* WHEN...For the Winter Weather Advisory, from noon Thursday to 7 AM EST Friday. For the Wind Chill Warning, from late Thursday night through Saturday evening.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Winds gusting as high as 40 mph will cause areas of blowing and drifting snow. Dangerously cold wind chills as low as 80 below zero will cause frostbite in as little as 5 minutes to exposed skin.
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Caeldeth

Caeldeth

Noble
Casual, I think you are in the clear for this one. Doesn't look like it's going to bomb until a bit south of NYC. My main concern for you was deformation bands if it bombed a little further south. Don't think that's going to happen, but I could be wrong.

You will however, be dealing with very strong winds and very dangerous wind chills. Bundle up.
 
Caeldeth

Caeldeth

Noble
Blizzard Warnings issued for VA Beach. You don't see that very often.

Starting to see cyclogenisis evolving in southern Florida. She's firing up. Much earlier than expected too. This monster is going to hug the coast. Get ready for worst case scenario.
 
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Caeldeth

Caeldeth

Noble
Snowing right now in Tallahassee, Florida for the first time in 28 years. Lightning strikes are going insane off the east coast of Florida means the low is rapidly deepening. She might bomb early.
 
Caeldeth

Caeldeth

Noble
Pulling away from Florida and is now beginning it's march north. Now to see where she decides to undergo bombogensis...
 

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Caeldeth

Caeldeth

Noble
CasualBystander said:
Well...

Atmospheric conditions are quasi-chaotic so it is too early for a victory dance.

The last prediction I saw had it too far out to sea to be truly devastating.

But a tongue of tropical air driving north into a polar air mass does have potential.

Whether or not it gets sucked/driven inland as you believe will significantly affect the outcome.
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SREFS are between 4-6 inches for DCA as the mean for the last 2 runs. The NMB's are really showing a juicier storm in the DC area. A Winter Storm Warning is imminent for your area. Possible blizzard conditions for you later tonight. Get some whiskey and enjoy the show.
 
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Caeldeth

Caeldeth

Noble
Awesome satellite picture from the ISS. This beast has TWO eyes right now. Can't wait to see what happens when it runs into the cold air up on my neck of the woods. It's going to go BOOM.
 

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Caeldeth

Caeldeth

Noble
Wow this beast just dropped to 992mb from 1004mb in one hour.

That's 12mb In one hour!

She's about to interact with the energy go the north. She's primed and ready to explode. I'm calling it. Sub 940 by the time it gets to the Northeast. :eek:
 

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Kchoo

Kchoo

At Peace.
What is the MB? In computers speak it is Mega Bytes... And in weather it is??
 
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Caeldeth

Caeldeth

Noble
Kchoo said:
What is the MB? In computers speak it is Mega Bytes... And in weather it is??
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It is a millibar. Lower the millibar the more violent and powerful the storm.

Let me put it this way, average millibars for a strong noreaster is usually anywhere between 980 and 970. This storm is going to be the most powerful winter storm ever observed on planet earth EVER and by a long shot!
 
nivek

nivek

As Above So Below
The ice and snow missed me, it didn't come inland enough but I have a friend living on the coast of NC and he's getting ice right now...
 
Caeldeth

Caeldeth

Noble
It is literally hugging the coast right now. Nobody predicted It to be this close to the coast. Not even computer models. It's also rapidly deepening and fast.
 

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Caeldeth

Caeldeth

Noble
As it closer to the final piece of energy making it a triple phaser I'm really curious to see if it acts as a push or a pull for this storm. Should become a triple phase in the next few hours and your really going to see this baby bomb out like a nuke.
 
nivek

nivek

As Above So Below
Caeldeth said:
It is literally hugging the coast right now. Nobody predicted It to be this close to the coast. Not even computer models. It's also rapidly deepening and fast.
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That gif is a computer model?...
 
Caeldeth

Caeldeth

Noble
I will be posting them throughout the night. As a winter weather nerd this storm has me stoked. It's the great white unicorn for me. It was something we always talked about in met class. Our bar back then was the superstorm of 93'. This is the new bar. Something I'll probably never see again in my life.
 
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