Deadly Wuhan Coronavirus

Kchoo

At Peace.
Covid-19 is a serious threat. We need to prepare, not overreact - STAT

So, After examining the medical records of about 18% of Italy’s coronavirus fatalities, only three victims had no previous pathology. 99% of the victims had underlying health conditions, with 50% suffering from at least three prior illnesses.

My thoughts:
For a virus to succeed in spreading, it must not kill its host. In other words, a virus by it's own nature does not want to kill. It wants its host to live.

Viruses that kill do not spread as well as viruses that do not kill.

As a result, viruses tend to become less deadly over time not more deadly.

Here is how I see this virus play out... Initially it kills many and scares us, but as time goes on the stronger and healthier hosts survive and there are less and less of the vulnerable people to kill.

The stronger virus that kills is less spread while the weaker mutations of the virus continue on. As a result, weaker mutations dominate and as the contagion spreads, more and more people who catch the virus will get through it with only a bad cold. Less will die.

Some of the people that get it will die... but math wins against the virus by it's own nature, and humanity survives with less loss than we currently worry about. Eventually, numbers will show that the number of deaths is about the same percentage as the flu.
 

The shadow

The shadow knows!
It's a scary time brother. I am at a complete loss for comforting words, What kinds of psychological comfort could someone offer another at a time like this that wouldn't be just empty words. :( Everyone is losing their minds. Even me.


It's a scary time to be on planet earth :(


I am terrified of this my friend.
Beyond terrified..
I have 5 kids to protect..
I am scared not for me..
I am ready to die for them.
The future is theirs
What I am susposed to do?
have Riki and the kids go to out cabin up north?
I'm at that point.
 

Shadowprophet

Truthiness
I am terrified of this my friend.
Beyond terrified..
I have 5 kids to protect..
I am scared not for me..
I am ready to die for them.
The future is theirs
What I am susposed to do?
have Riki and the kids go to out cabin up north?
I'm at that point.

Look I know everyone has an image to protect, I admit this here and now, I've broken down and cried over this. Yeah, I understand. The thing to do is be strong for them, Be their Rock. Let them lean on you. It doesn't mean you aren't frightened. But, They need someone to lean on brother. That's what you do. It's all any of us can do right now.
 

pigfarmer

tall, thin, irritable
I keep hearing about warm weather reducing this. I have no idea.

But wouldn't it be deliciously ironic if it did and we could thank global warming for saving us?
 

Kchoo

At Peace.
Another way to look at this.
.00003 is the cases divided by the world population.

That is Three divided by 100 Thousand.

That is 1 in every 33000 people had or have it

10 percent of the completed cases died... I think that number will come down, but let's use it for now but that number is 10,000

That means 1 in every 10 million people have died. Hardly a pandemic from the overall scheme.

Putting it into perspective, the National Emergency is not due to a monster of a virus, but simple fear and lack of preparedness of politicians who do not know how to manage a damn thing. They are creating a bigger problem than they are solving.

Now let's look at it from a different perspective. 10,000 deaths out of a hundred thousand cases. That looks horrible... doesn't it? One out of 10 of all documented and completed cases died. Oh no!

It looks like 1 tenth of the world population is going to die. 771 million people.OH NO!

But that is not a real number.

We will see the number of deaths decline. Better care, medications, social distancing, and time are all in our favor.

Less percentage of deaths and critical cases will occur over time.

This will not go away, but it does not require more than social distancing. Proper cleaning, and time. But shutting down everything needs to be temporary.

Yes thousands have died, 1045 as of this writing...
1045 out 99,466.

So, yeah, maybe we need a few weeks to lay extremely low while we put in place our Medical ships, hotel rooms for quarantine, and ramp up manufacturing medical supplies and respirators...

The virus will become less potent over time also...

Don't panic. Just try to enjoy a slower time for a little while... and things will trickle back to a more normal, (new normal)

In a few months I expect it will be a cleaner, more vibrant existence in the long run. People will work from home more, people will go back to working, but will keep more distance, and people will adapt...

And one can hope that Airlines will stop cramming people into planes, and will take more time to clean planes between flights... Wouldn't that be nice ? At least provide every passenger with multiple antisceptic wipes, hmmmm?
 
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Shadowprophet

Truthiness
For me, there is morbidity to this whole thing, If My mother or father or wife dies from this, I can't possibly see myself wanting to live. I mean, maybe it's selfish of me, But I've lost enough people in my life, I don't want to lose any more.

I can't accept this. I've already made up my mind, If my wife dies from this, I'm gonna clock out, I'm not going through life alone. Just so people can tell me Chin up Darren, Everyone suffered in this pandemic, Fuck that. I'm not losing any more family.
 

Shadowprophet

Truthiness
Correction..
10,045 as of this writing...
10,045 out 99,466.
Just some analytic structure, A pandemic has nothing to state about the severity or death rate of any given disease it just means it has spread globally And there are 246,275 confirmed cases with 10,038 deaths globally bro.

Operations Dashboard for ArcGIS <-- I get my analytics from here, But they don't update as often as I would like :(
 

Kchoo

At Peace.
For me, there is morbidity to this whole thing, If My mother or father or wife dies from this, I can't possibly see myself wanting to live. I mean, maybe it's selfish of me, But I've lost enough people in my life, I don't want to lose any more.

I can't accept this. I've already made up my mind, If my wife dies from this, I'm gonna clock out, I'm not going through life alone. Just so people can tell me Chin up Darren, Everyone suffered in this pandemic, Fuck that. I'm not losing any more family.

Yes, pretty damn scary when you think about the possibility of that kind of suffering death.

No one wants that.

At the end of the day, That is what this shut down is about. Saving our family. That is it. That is why we are doing what we are doing.
 

Shadowprophet

Truthiness
Just keeping people informed, The chatter in the Chatroom on the coronavirus task force, "This is the youtube chat room" But there is chatter in there that they think Trump will announce a nationwide quarantine today.

However, These people are not especially informed, They have access to the same news sources we all do,
But that's the buzz right now.
 

Shadowprophet

Truthiness
Milwaukee man dies from coronavirus complications, third coronavirus death in Wisconsin

Make that 3.. I'm going to a church on the way to work..
I am not a Man of faith..
I just need a place to pray..And in a moment of weakness..Cry.. I have no answer to any questions..
I may be acting like a crazy man but I can't see my kids sick..
I may send them up north today.

I am a man of Faith, Faith Helps,

Pray This Prayer. Praise be to the God and Father of our Lord Jesus Christ, the Father of compassion and the God of all comfort, who comforts us in all our troubles so that we can comfort those in any trouble with the comfort we ourselves receive from God.

And Trust fully that it will help.
 

Toroid

Founding Member
I heard on the news yesterday that the average number of delivery trucks to a grocery stores in LA is two and it's now up to seven. This means stores are being cleared out 3.5 times a day.
 

Shadowprophet

Truthiness
I heard on the news yesterday that the average number of delivery trucks to a grocery stores in LA is two and it's now up to seven. This means stores are being cleared out 3.5 times a day.
My niece works at Dollar General, Those are southern like odds and ends stores mostly down here in the south, She was saying they have been getting delivery trucks three per day for the last week, Back before this, they would get one truck per week. That's how fast things are flying off shelves brother.
 

Shadowprophet

Truthiness
In researching everything I can find, I found this, almost prophetic Video from bill Gates in 2015.

It's chilling.

What Bill Gates is afraid of
 

nivek

As Above So Below
Gov. Andrew Cuomo issues 'most drastic' order yet for ALL non-essential workers to stay home after 3,000 new coronavirus cases are confirmed - bringing total to 7,102 in the state of New York


New York Governor Andrew Cuomo has ordered all non-essential workers to stay home now in the most drastic step he has taken in the battle against coronavirus. In an announcement on Friday, he increased the previous rule that 75 percent of the state's workforce had to stay home to 100 percent. The only workforces that are excluded are grocery stores, pharmacies, certain government workers and news organizations. People will be allowed to go outside to exercise but he urged solitary activities like running or walking. There will not be limits on the hours people can leave their homes, but Cuomo is urging people to stay indoors as much as possible. 'Everybody has personal freedom and I'll always protect that. But everybody also has a responsibility,' he said.

There are now 7,102 cases in New York State. There are 1,939 new cases in New York City since yesterday, bringing the total to 4,408. The total increase in just one day in New York state is 2,950. The hospitalization rate is 18 percent. Cuomo said the state was now testing more than had been done in China and South Korea. On Thursday night, 10,000 tests were done. Cuomo's announcement came after New York City Mayor Bill de Blasio said the city was now the 'epicenter' of the coronavirus outbreak in the US with more than 4,000 confirmed cases and 26 deaths as he pleaded with the federal government to give him help before hospitals become overwhelmed.


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