Deadly Wuhan Coronavirus

AD1184

Celestial
The situation in the UK is very bad at the moment. More have now died in the 'second wave' of the virus than in the first. There were 1,032 deaths observed to have taken place on the 11th of January, and 1,295 deaths have been reported today. 1,032 deaths in this country is the per-capita equivalent of more than 5,000 deaths in the US.
 

nivek

As Above So Below
There were 1,032 deaths observed to have taken place on the 11th of January,

Observed by who and were these verified to have taken place on January 11th?...As you have pointed out to me these deaths likely did not occur in that particular day, however since you did say they were 'observed' is it safe to say that the count of 1032 deaths was verified to have occurred on January 11th?...

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nivek

As Above So Below
Europe’s coronavirus curfews and lockdowns at a glance

Across Europe and beyond, countries have a patchwork of curfews and lockdowns of varying strictness to combat the spread of the coronavirus. Here, at a glance, are the measures in place in the European Union’s 27 member nations and some neighboring countries:

Austria: In a third lockdown. Leaving home only allowed for work, medical visits, exercise, groceries. No overnight curfew.

Belgium: 10 p.m. to 6 a.m. curfew in French-speaking regions; midnight to 5 a.m. in Dutch-speaking Flanders region.

Bulgaria: No lockdown or curfew.

Croatia: Limits on gatherings; cafes and restaurants closed, but no curfew.

Cyprus: In lockdown, plus a 9 p.m. to 5 a.m. curfew.

Czech Republic: 9 p.m. to 5 a.m. curfew.

Denmark: No lockdown or curfew.

Estonia: No lockdown or curfew.

Finland: No lockdown or curfew.

France: EU’s longest curfew, from 6 p.m. to 6 a.m., in 25 regions of eastern France. The measure is being extended nationwide from Saturday, to include zones where the curfew has started later, at 8 p.m. Shopping and all outdoor leisure activities stop at curfew, only short pet walks allowed. Working and commuting allowed with note from employer. Food deliveries but not takeout allowed. Fines for curfew-breakers.

Germany: A patchwork of restrictions in the 16 states; some have overnight curfews; no curfew in the capital, Berlin.

Greece: In lockdown; limited movements allowed during the day, plus 9 p.m. to 5 a.m. curfew.

Hungary: 8 p.m. to 5 a.m. curfew.

Ireland: In lockdown; travel allowed for work, education, other essential activity and for exercise within 5 kilometers (3 miles) from home. No curfew.

Italy: 10 p.m. to 5 a.m. curfew.

Latvia: 10 p.m. to 5 a.m. curfew from Friday night to Sunday morning.

Lithuania: No curfew.

Luxembourg: 11 p.m. to 6 a.m. curfew.

Malta: No curfew.

Netherlands: Strict lockdown until at least Feb. 9. No curfew, but considering one.

Norway: No lockdown or curfew.

Poland: Shopping malls closed, with the exception of pharmacies, cleaners, barbers and food shops. Restaurants can only do takeaway food. Hotels, sports facilities closed. No curfew.

Portugal: Strict lockdown starts Friday. Staying at home is mandatory, including for work. Schools to remain open, along with companies providing essential services.

Romania: 11 p.m. to 6 a.m. curfew. Localized lockdowns, but not strictly enforced.

Russia and most other ex-Soviet nations: No lockdowns or curfews. Georgia has a 9 p.m. to 5 a.m. curfew.

Slovakia: In lockdown. Leaving home allowed for work and essentials.

Slovenia: 9 p.m. to 6 a.m. curfew.

Spain: Curfews start between 10:00 p.m. and 12:00 a.m. and end between 5:00 a.m. and 7:00 a.m., depending on the region.

Sweden: No lockdown or curfew.

Turkey: 9 p.m. to 5 a.m. weekday curfew; all-day lockdown on weekends.

U.K.: All four nations (England, Scotland, Northern Ireland and Wales) in lockdown, people must stay at home except for limited essential trips and exercise. Schools closed except to children of key workers and vulnerable children. No curfew.

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August

Metanoia
https://nypost.com/2021/01/15/23-die-in-norway-after-receiving-pfizer-covid-19-vaccine/
HEALTH-CORONAVIRUS_VACCINES-SWISS.jpg
 

AD1184

Celestial
Observed by who and were these verified to have taken place on January 11th?...As you have pointed out to me these deaths likely did not occur in that particular day, however since you did say they were 'observed' is it safe to say that the count of 1032 deaths was verified to have occurred on January 11th?...

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The government puts out two data series on deaths at this link:

Official UK Coronavirus Dashboard

One is the number of deaths by date reported, the other is the number of deaths by date of death.

The number of deaths by date of report for the previous five days, including today are the following:

16-01-2021: 1,295
15-01-2021: 1,280
14-01-2021: 1,248
13-01-2021: 1,564
12-01-2021: 1,243

The number of deaths by date of death for the most recent five days in the series are the following:

14-01-2021: 788
13-01-2021: 928
12-01-2021: 997
11-01-2021: 1,034
10-01-2021: 944

The recent dates in this series are liable to change as more reports come in, so the current figure is a minimum that is likely to increase over the next few days. It is likely that the days after the 11th in this series will also be revised upward to reach a value that is greater than the final figure for the 11th, as deaths are not yet thought to have peaked in the country.
 
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AD1184

Celestial
The number of deaths by date of death for the most recent five days in the series are the following:

14-01-2021: 788
13-01-2021: 928
12-01-2021: 997
11-01-2021: 1,034
10-01-2021: 944
The figures for the same five days with today's data are the following:

14-01-2021: 939
13-01-2021: 977
12-01-2021: 1,019
11-01-2021: 1,041
10-01-2021: 955
 

AD1184

Celestial
Another 1,610 deaths announced today in the UK. An average of 1,181 announced on each of the last seven days, or the per-capita equivalent of more than 5,700 per day in the US, to give you some idea. The greatest number of deaths on a single day, by date of death, stands at 1,064, on the 11th of January. The country is in a fairly hard national lockdown, however, and the rate of new infections seems to have peaked, but the daily death toll shall likely not peak for another couple of weeks. This might give you some idea of what to expect in other countries with new mutant strains, if they do not get a good handle on the situation, and in the absence of widespread vaccine coverage.
 

nivek

As Above So Below
Another 1,610 deaths announced today in the UK. An average of 1,181 announced on each of the last seven days, or the per-capita equivalent of more than 5,700 per day in the US, to give you some idea. The greatest number of deaths on a single day, by date of death, stands at 1,064, on the 11th of January. The country is in a fairly hard national lockdown, however, and the rate of new infections seems to have peaked, but the daily death toll shall likely not peak for another couple of weeks. This might give you some idea of what to expect in other countries with new mutant strains, if they do not get a good handle on the situation, and in the absence of widespread vaccine coverage.

It appears that the "UK variant" is more deadly as it is also more contagious, at least that's what Boris is saying...I haven't read the news reports in detail yet, I've been out of town in the mountains this week, just returned back home today, I'm a little out of touch since I had no internet nor cellular service where I stayed...

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nivek

As Above So Below
South African Covid variant may make vaccines 50 per cent less effective

The South African Covid variant could make current vaccines 50 per cent less effective, Matt Hancock has claimed.

In video footage of a webinar with travel agents, the Health Secretary warned that the importation of the variant could ruin Britain's vaccination drive and send the country "back to square one" without tough travel restrictions.

Mr Hancock is among a number of ministers pushing for tougher travel restrictions modelled on Australia and New Zealand, which have closed their borders to non-residents and require all returning nationals to quarantine in Government-approved hotels.

Speaking ahead of a Cabinet Covid-O Cabinet meeting at which ministers will consider similar UK border closures and quarantine hotels, Mr Hancock admitted that the data showing the South African variant reduced vaccine efficacy by 50 per cent was not certain "so I wouldn’t say this in public".

He added: "Nevertheless, if you vaccinate the entire population and then you get in a new variant that evaded the vaccine, then you'd be back to square one. And so tougher international restrictions are the price that, for instance, Australia has paid for stronger domestic protection, as in more life getting back to normal domestically."



The South African strain – called B.1.351 – has key mutations on its spike protein which scientists fear might make it difficult for the immune system to recognise. These alterations open the door to it being resistant to vaccines, which train the body to spot the spike protein, or to natural immunity from previous infection.

However, Sir Patrick Vallance, the Government's chief scientific officer, played down Mr Hancock's concerns and said it was "too early" to know what effect the strain would have on the vaccination.

He pointed out that even the data suggesting the Kent variant was 30 per cent more deadly was based on just one paper, when others showed no increase and said: "What we could end up with is that the current vaccines still protect to a large degree against severe disease and dying."

At a Downing Street press conference, however, Boris Johnson indicated that the Government could still toughen travel restrictions. Asked whether he would close the borders, the Prime Minister said: "I really don't rule out that we might take further measures. We may need to go further to protect our borders."

He said the UK did not want to put its vaccination success "at risk by having a new variant come back in".



Cabinet "hawks" – Priti Patel, Mr Hancock and Cabinet Office Minister Michael Gove – are pressing for tougher measures modelled on Australia and New Zealand, while the "doves", including Rishi Sunak and Grant Shapps, the Transport Secretary, fear severe economic damage from such moves.

The Covid-O committee will consider options including closure of the borders, "quarantine hotels", at which travellers would have to pay a share of the costs, and forcing people to self-isolate for the full 10 days by scrapping the opportunity to test and release on the fifth day.

The Government is already in talks with hotel groups including Marriott and IHG, which owns Holiday Inns, to house quarantining passengers. Ministers will also consider requiring by law that quarantining passengers download a location tracking app to boost compliance.

The moves are allied to an enforcement blitz by Ms Patel, who has ordered Border Force officials to check that every passenger coming into the UK has negative Covid tests taken within 72 hours of departure and locator address forms so they can be traced by health officials and police.

It will mean 15,000 arrivals will be stopped each day and checked, with those without proper paperwork facing £500 fines. Some 320 have been fined since checks started ramping up on Monday. Airlines also face £2,000 fines for any passenger they bring in without the right documentation.

The move is a significant stepping up of enforcement after criticism that the previous "soft touch" regime of checking just one in 10 arrivals' locator forms is not fit for purpose in face of the raised threat from the new Covid variants.

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nivek

As Above So Below
It seems pretty apparent now that Covid is here to stay, we have mutations that have a good potential to overturn vaccination efforts and with some mutations that are seemingly more deadly as well as more contagious...We have to figure out a plan moving forward based on this reality because staying sheltered in homes long term isn't a viable option...

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AlienView

Noble
It seems pretty apparent now that Covid is here to stay, we have mutations that have a good potential to overturn vaccination efforts and with some mutations that are seemingly more deadly as well as more contagious...We have to figure out a plan moving forward based on this reality because staying sheltered in homes long term isn't a viable option...

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Maybe ????

But I asked this last year, even posted a movie on this site about the Spanish Flu of 1918-20 when they had no vaccines and few effective drugs to treat it.
It started out like Covid with a milder version that made a lot of people sick but killed relativity few. And then came back the next year with a kill rate that has been estimated to be as high as fifty million dead worldwide !!!
But then, and I'm still asking for the reason - It just disappeared,
why ???
 

AD1184

Celestial
However, Sir Patrick Vallance, the Government's chief scientific officer, played down Mr Hancock's concerns and said it was "too early" to know what effect the strain would have on the vaccination.

He pointed out that even the data suggesting the Kent variant was 30 per cent more deadly was based on just one paper, when others showed no increase and said: "What we could end up with is that the current vaccines still protect to a large degree against severe disease and dying."
This document from the British government's New and Emerging Respiratory Virus Threats Advisory Group (NERVTAG) suggests that the finding that the Kent variant is more deadly comes from at least three different sources, and mentions a study by the London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, which found a hazard ratio of 1.35; an Imperial College study which found hazard ratios of 1.36 and 1.29 when applying different statistical analyses to the data; and a University of Exeter study which found a hazard ratio of 1.91. The 95% confidence intervals around each of these figures were 1.08-1.68, 1.18-1.56, 1.07-1.54, and 1.35-2.71, respectively. The range contained within all four CIs is 1.35-1.54.

https://assets.publishing.service.g...paper_on_variant_of_concern__VOC__B.1.1.7.pdf
 

AD1184

Celestial
Maybe ????

But I asked this last year, even posted a movie on this site about the Spanish Flu of 1918-20 when they had no vaccines and few effective drugs to treat it.
It started out like Covid with a milder version that made a lot of people sick but killed relativity few. And then came back the next year with a kill rate that has been estimated to be as high as fifty million dead worldwide !!!
But then, and I'm still asking for the reason - It just disappeared,
why ???
Wasn't the Spanish Flu pandemic the emergence of H1N1 influenza? H1N1 is still endemic to the world and is one of the seasonal influenzas. The swine flu pandemic in 2009 was a strain of H1N1.
 

nivek

As Above So Below
But I asked this last year, even posted a movie on this site about the Spanish Flu of 1918-20 when they had no vaccines and few effective drugs to treat it.
It started out like Covid with a milder version that made a lot of people sick but killed relativity few. And then came back the next year with a kill rate that has been estimated to be as high as fifty million dead worldwide !!!
But then, and I'm still asking for the reason - It just disappeared,
why ???

Wasn't the Spanish Flu pandemic the emergence of H1N1 influenza? H1N1 is still endemic to the world and is one of the seasonal influenzas. The swine flu pandemic in 2009 was a strain of H1N1.

As @AD1184 said, the Spanish flu didn’t just disappear...There was some level of immunity as that virus popped up in smaller more isolated waves in the years following 1920 and continued to mutate through humans and other mammals, but mutations that were less deadly, and eventually morphing into another seasonal influenza virus of which we are still dealing with today...

It's very possible covid may follow a similar path and in time become more like a season flu virus, since it doesn't seem to be going away anytime soon...I've heard estimates that it's going to take until the end of 2022 before things level off and we finally have a handle on this pandemic, I guess the survivors will find out...

https://www.washingtonpost.com/history/2020/09/01/1918-flu-pandemic-end/

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