Deadly Wuhan Coronavirus

nivek

As Above So Below
It looks like Florida has a single daily release of a figure of new cases. I don't think the data are released in a trickle throughout the day.

I've seen worldometer add to the totals a few times throughout the day and not just with Florida but with many other states...I also see reports now of hospitals getting overloaded with patients, this will begin to cause more deaths if the new case numbers continue to spike, like today, over 5500 new cases in Florida so far...

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nivek

As Above So Below
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Thousands swarm to beaches and beauty spots as 91F Britain swelters on hottest day of the year so far and vets warn it is too hot for walking a dog - with thunderstorms and rain on way tomorrow night

The mercury sky-rocketed as the country basked in the hot weather today with people defying social distancing to crowd together at packed beaches and beauty spots - but thunderstorms and rain are set to lash the country from tomorrow night. London Heathrow hit 90.5F (32.5C) at 3pm by 2pm this afternoon, the first time the temperature has gone above 90F in 2020. The warmest day so far is still May 29 when Dawyck in the Scottish Borders got up to 84F (28.9C). There is also a chance of temperatures hitting a June record, which is currently 96.08F (35.6C) in Southampton on June 28, 1976. A Level 3 heat alert has been issued as shoppers are warned long queues in the sun may cause heatstroke.

It comes after Prime Minister Boris Johnson revealed the social distancing rule is being halved from two metres to 'one metre plus' to allow businesses to open for more customers from July 4. Britain today announced 154 more deaths and just 653 coronavirus cases, in the lowest daily jump for more than three months as the outbreak continues to fizzle out. Pictured left: Bournemouth beach. Pictured right: Groups of friends were dancing and laughing together in the river at Hackney Marshes in east London.


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nivek

As Above So Below
Can I hug my grandchildren yet? Is the gym still off limits? How many people can I invite for dinner? What you can - and cannot - do in post-lockdown England from July 4

Boris Johnson announced an unwinding of the lockdown in England last night, saying coronavirus had dwindled enough to make 'life easier'. But ministers admit that the new rules are more complicated - and people will have to use 'common sense' to navigate the new 'normal'. The government has issued guidance in an attempt to clear up some of the more puzzling aspects of the arrangements.

These are the activities that will be allowed on July 4:


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(more on the link)

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nivek

As Above So Below
Today is showing huge spikes of new cases, even in my state NC, 2384 new cases, and at least in my state the governor is saying that mask wearing will be mandatory...The only way they said they are going to enforce it is if someone refuses to wear a mask in a shop and the store owner can call the police and charge the non-mask-wearer with trespassing...

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nivek

As Above So Below
Texas has posted about 1300 more cases in two hours...California and South Carolina have also jumped in numbers...

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nivek

As Above So Below
Then in about five minutes the numbers are increased again for Texas and others, I assume tests are still taking three to five days to process at minimum?...If there are known to be for instance 6000 new cases in Texas three to five days ago, then how much has that number grown by today?...I suppose we will see in a few days...

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Sheltie

Fratty and out of touch.
It's being reported today that new cases have risen sharply in Texas. Hospitals at several major cities in the state are reporting big increases in hospitalizations. This sounds like it could be the bad news we have been fearing.
 

nivek

As Above So Below
It's being reported today that new cases have risen sharply in Texas. Hospitals at several major cities in the state are reporting big increases in hospitalizations. This sounds like it could be the bad news we have been fearing.

Florida has almost 9000 new cases confirmed today so far, Texas is out of control too like you said, and Texas shut down bars and gyms again as well as limiting restaurant capacity...Through the south and west the virus is totally out of control...

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AD1184

Celestial
Some people travel for miles out of doors with their masks on, only to pull them down when they get near to someone to talk to them. It's a bit like wearing oven gloves around the house all day, only to take them off when you go to take something out of the oven.
 

Sheltie

Fratty and out of touch.
I had assumed the summer heat would dramatically slow the transmission. If it can survive in Texas in the summer, it can survive in hell itself. :(
 

nivek

As Above So Below
Here's the states with the highest new case count for today (Friday)...I saw one local report stating Florida has over 10,000 new cases today, this screenshot below came from worldometer...Once the hospitals get overloaded I think deaths will rise exponentially...

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nivek

As Above So Below
Have you seen this face mask exemption card? It's fake, Department of Justice says

The Department of Justice has confirmed that one of the latest trends in the movement to reject face-covering requirements is not backed by the government, despite claims to the contrary.

The trend in question, started by anti-mask group the Freedom to Breathe Agency, is a card that claims the holder is "exempt" from wearing a mask, citing the Americans with Disabilities Act (ADA). However, the official government website of the ADA recently announced that these cards are, in fact, "fraudulent."

(more on the link)

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nivek

As Above So Below
The state of the pandemic, in nine charts

First, we are seeing a renewed surge in new cases. The past two days of data (for Wednesday and Thursday) have seen the largest increases in new daily cases on record. The seven-day average of new cases (the most commonly used metric, since it smooths out unevenness in reporting data) hit a new high Thursday.

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At the same time, the seven-day average of daily deaths is at its lowest point since the last day of March.

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This is unquestionably good news, so it was naturally a focal point of Pence’s during Friday’s coronavirus task force briefing. He noted that on two days this week, the number of deaths was under 300, something he and the task force attributed to expanded access to medicine, better understanding of treatment and a higher density of new cases being detected among younger people, where the virus has proven to be less dangerous.

That there are fewer deaths as the number of cases climbs is somewhat perplexing. Over time, the number of deaths in the United States has been about 5 percent of the total number of cases. But that’s skewed by a relatively high rate of deaths early in the pandemic. Since early May, the daily ratio of deaths to cases has consistently fallen, dropping below 2 percent in recent days.

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That’s a bit misleading, since deaths necessarily trail infections. If we compare the daily average number of deaths to the number of new cases one week prior, we see an even steadier decline in the number of cases leading to death.

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That the ratio has dropped is itself attributable to some extent to the increase in testing. Daily data compiled by the COVID Tracking Project show how, after a lull in mid-April, the number of tests being conducted each day has steadily risen. That’s why more young people are being detected; we now have the capacity to conduct tests even on asymptomatic people.

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That we detected so few cases in April (relatively speaking) means that a lot of cases went undetected — and that the people most likely to be tested were the sickest. That skewed the ratio of cases to deaths, since healthier people who had contracted the virus weren’t included in the confirmed case totals.

It also meant that the rate of positive tests was higher, since sicker people were more likely to get tests. As we’ve deployed more testing, the rate of positive tests has dropped.

Or, had dropped, until earlier this month, when it started climbing again.

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That’s why Trump’s “it’s because of more testing” line is obviously misleading. More tests are coming back positive even as testing expands, meaning that more people are being infected.

If we look at the change in testing and new cases by state since June 1, we see how those things correlate. States with more testing and more cases relative to the beginning of the month (at upper right) generally have also seen increases in the rate of positive tests being returned.

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In the case of Florida and Arizona, they’re seeing a lot more new cases each day than they did June 1, while the rate at which testing has expanded has grown more slowly. (That dashed diagonal line shows a rate of growth in testing and in new cases that’s equivalent. Circles over that line are seeing cases grow faster than testing.) States where new cases have fallen are also seeing dropping positivity rates. It’s a good indicator of how things are evolving.

Florida and Arizona stand out in another way: They’re two of the four states powering the new surge in cases. The others are California and Texas. Those states together are adding an average of more than 16,000 new cases a day — far more than New York added each day on average at its peak.

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When you adjust for population, the increase becomes more stark. Arizona, for example, has seen a huge surge in per capita daily cases, nearly a seven-day average of 40 per 100,000 residents. At its peak, New York was averaging about 50 new cases per 100,000 people each day. By this metric, too, California fades a bit: it’s adding a lot of cases, but it’s a big state.

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As the administration points out, the growth of new cases in these states isn’t even. Los Angeles, for example, is seeing more growth than other parts of California. But that argument collapses a bit when you consider that the same is true of the U.S. more broadly: It’s these four states, not every state, which are particularly problematic. There are hotspots, as there have been from the beginning. The issue is whether we treat these like an ongoing problem with a unified solution or as one-off crises to be dealt with as they emerge.


The administration prefers the latter approach. The data above show one result of doing so.

(more on the link)

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The state of the pandemic, in nine charts

First, we are seeing a renewed surge in new cases. The past two days of data (for Wednesday and Thursday) have seen the largest increases in new daily cases on record. The seven-day average of new cases (the most commonly used metric, since it smooths out unevenness in reporting data) hit a new high Thursday.

BB161262.img


At the same time, the seven-day average of daily deaths is at its lowest point since the last day of March.

BB16106i.img


This is unquestionably good news, so it was naturally a focal point of Pence’s during Friday’s coronavirus task force briefing. He noted that on two days this week, the number of deaths was under 300, something he and the task force attributed to expanded access to medicine, better understanding of treatment and a higher density of new cases being detected among younger people, where the virus has proven to be less dangerous.

That there are fewer deaths as the number of cases climbs is somewhat perplexing. Over time, the number of deaths in the United States has been about 5 percent of the total number of cases. But that’s skewed by a relatively high rate of deaths early in the pandemic. Since early May, the daily ratio of deaths to cases has consistently fallen, dropping below 2 percent in recent days.

BB1618CJ.img


That’s a bit misleading, since deaths necessarily trail infections. If we compare the daily average number of deaths to the number of new cases one week prior, we see an even steadier decline in the number of cases leading to death.

BB1614z9.img


That the ratio has dropped is itself attributable to some extent to the increase in testing. Daily data compiled by the COVID Tracking Project show how, after a lull in mid-April, the number of tests being conducted each day has steadily risen. That’s why more young people are being detected; we now have the capacity to conduct tests even on asymptomatic people.

BB16126b.img


That we detected so few cases in April (relatively speaking) means that a lot of cases went undetected — and that the people most likely to be tested were the sickest. That skewed the ratio of cases to deaths, since healthier people who had contracted the virus weren’t included in the confirmed case totals.

It also meant that the rate of positive tests was higher, since sicker people were more likely to get tests. As we’ve deployed more testing, the rate of positive tests has dropped.

Or, had dropped, until earlier this month, when it started climbing again.

BB161btA.img


That’s why Trump’s “it’s because of more testing” line is obviously misleading. More tests are coming back positive even as testing expands, meaning that more people are being infected.

If we look at the change in testing and new cases by state since June 1, we see how those things correlate. States with more testing and more cases relative to the beginning of the month (at upper right) generally have also seen increases in the rate of positive tests being returned.

BB160Gz0.img


In the case of Florida and Arizona, they’re seeing a lot more new cases each day than they did June 1, while the rate at which testing has expanded has grown more slowly. (That dashed diagonal line shows a rate of growth in testing and in new cases that’s equivalent. Circles over that line are seeing cases grow faster than testing.) States where new cases have fallen are also seeing dropping positivity rates. It’s a good indicator of how things are evolving.

Florida and Arizona stand out in another way: They’re two of the four states powering the new surge in cases. The others are California and Texas. Those states together are adding an average of more than 16,000 new cases a day — far more than New York added each day on average at its peak.

BB161btD.img


When you adjust for population, the increase becomes more stark. Arizona, for example, has seen a huge surge in per capita daily cases, nearly a seven-day average of 40 per 100,000 residents. At its peak, New York was averaging about 50 new cases per 100,000 people each day. By this metric, too, California fades a bit: it’s adding a lot of cases, but it’s a big state.

BB1618CP.img


As the administration points out, the growth of new cases in these states isn’t even. Los Angeles, for example, is seeing more growth than other parts of California. But that argument collapses a bit when you consider that the same is true of the U.S. more broadly: It’s these four states, not every state, which are particularly problematic. There are hotspots, as there have been from the beginning. The issue is whether we treat these like an ongoing problem with a unified solution or as one-off crises to be dealt with as they emerge.


The administration prefers the latter approach. The data above show one result of doing so.

(more on the link)

.
This was all as inevitable as the Sun rising in the morning. Because in addition to a totally inept Carnival barker for a President who - even six months into this massive crisis - has failed to provide every American man, woman and child with the simple paper N95 respirator required to protect themselves as they go about their lives every day, we have a totally corrupt corporate news media that's been fecklessly talking non-stop about a "second wave in the Fall"...which has given millions of isolation-weary citizens the false and deadly notion that this first wave had already peaked and passed, and that somehow it was reasonably safe to get back to business as usual when in fact more of the people around us are infected than ever before.

Everyone in any position of power, from Congress and the White House to the CDC to the entire corporate news media on both sides of the aisle, has failed us so completely that we're the only First World nation with such an astronomical confirmed infection rate per capita.

Honestly it seems reasonable to expect that this crisis will go on for years, and millions will needlessly die agonizing deaths, driven by the stupidity and the corruption of every seat of power in this country and the world at large.
 

Dejan Corovic

As above, so bellow
This was all as inevitable as the Sun rising in the morning. Because in addition to a totally inept Carnival barker for a President who - even six months into this massive crisis - has failed to provide every American man, woman and child with the simple paper N95 respirator required to protect themselves as they go about their lives every day, we have a totally corrupt corporate news media that's been fecklessly talking non-stop about a "second wave in the Fall"...which has given millions of isolation-weary citizens the false and deadly notion that this first wave had already peaked and passed, and that somehow it was reasonably safe to get back to business as usual when in fact more of the people around us are infected than ever before.

Everyone in any position of power, from Congress and the White House to the CDC to the entire corporate news media on both sides of the aisle, has failed us so completely that we're the only First World nation with such an astronomical confirmed infection rate per capita.

Honestly it seems reasonable to expect that this crisis will go on for years, and millions will needlessly die agonizing deaths, driven by the stupidity and the corruption of every seat of power in this country and the world at large.

We are such an irrational species. Even such a straightforward thing as doctor's advice becomes politicized.

And now worldwide people are molesting doctors, in a "punish the messenger" style:

Frontline doctors are being attacked in India due to fears they may be infected

Some public health officials are resigning amid threats during the Covid-19 pandemic - CNN

And, suffice to say, doctors are the only people who know how to get us out of this crisis.
 
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AD1184

Celestial
Have you seen this face mask exemption card? It's fake, Department of Justice says

The Department of Justice has confirmed that one of the latest trends in the movement to reject face-covering requirements is not backed by the government, despite claims to the contrary.

The trend in question, started by anti-mask group the Freedom to Breathe Agency, is a card that claims the holder is "exempt" from wearing a mask, citing the Americans with Disabilities Act (ADA). However, the official government website of the ADA recently announced that these cards are, in fact, "fraudulent."

(more on the link)

View attachment 10007
Anti-Mask League of San Francisco - Wikipedia
 

AD1184

Celestial
This was all as inevitable as the Sun rising in the morning. Because in addition to a totally inept Carnival barker for a President who - even six months into this massive crisis - has failed to provide every American man, woman and child with the simple paper N95 respirator required to protect themselves as they go about their lives every day...
Well, to be fair, I don't think any government in the world has done this.
 

nivek

As Above So Below
Honestly it seems reasonable to expect that this crisis will go on for years, and millions will needlessly die agonizing deaths, driven by the stupidity and the corruption of every seat of power in this country and the world at large.

Unfortunately I think this may go on for years, its completely out of control in the US in my opinion and there is no plan countrywide to stop this pandemic...Our governments have failed but even the many public citizens have failed, so many are arguing the necessity of wearing face masks and using hand sanitizer in public...Florida is already posting close to 10,000 new cases today, its only 14:22 est...

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