Hurricane Irma

nivek

As Above So Below

nivek

As Above So Below
So far two people are known to have died on Barbuda, 90%+ destruction, I don't know how many people stayed on the island during the storm, I haven't found that information...
 

nivek

As Above So Below
Screenshot_20170906-182434.jpg
 

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Caeldeth

Noble
This run has it coming in at 886 fucking MB. That is incredible and scary. The weather model can't even measure wind speeds this high. Dear God.
 

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Caeldeth

Noble
She's down to 905mb. That's 10mb in an hour. She's beginning to undergo bombogensis or rapid intensification.

Eye went more north or PR then thought thus the eye is still over open water. Meaning PR isn't going to weaken her like thought.
 

Caeldeth

Noble
00z models have responded. GFS, CMC, AND THE NAM now have Irma staying off the Florida coast and turning due north. This trajectory takes it towards the SC/NC border where they indicate landfall. Main reason behind this: the "Fujiwara effect" as hurricane Jose acts as the main steering mechanism for Irma and steers it more to the north. Also, 00z data is showing an inland landfall that tracks Irma into central NC and central VA.

If you live in FL, SC, NC, VA you need to start preparing for significant impacts including long-duration wind event. Models slow Irma once it landfalls, and is slow to weaken Irma thanks to Jose attaching feeder bands to Irma and pumping moisture into Irma even after it landfalls. In addition to long duration wind event, hurricane force winds in excess of 120mph+ will be possible across central NC and central VA. Torrential flooding rains and coastal flooding, along with tornadoes across the coastal plains. Biggest threat from FL to VA also including GA is the storm surge, but will maximize and be significant northeast of landfall, which if this track verifies, Wilmington up through Hatteras and OBX would experience significant storm surge.

I can not stress this enough and can not be emphasized enough Irma possesses the chance to be a very strong Category 5 hurricane on landfall. Take this threat more serious than you ever have, do not compare this event to past hurricanes. Irma will likely surpass all recorded hurricane events. Irma poses a very serious threat to life, and will posses catastrophic conditions even after landfall. Even if it weakens to a Cat 3, it will still carry Cat 5 hazards/risk such as storm surge. Please monitor Irma closely over the next 48hrs and do not wait to evacuate if you find yourself in Irma's path over the next 48hrs and you live in coastal areas, get out and evacuate!!!
 

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Caeldeth

Noble
Sweet jesus... catastrophic if this verified which I think it will.
 

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nivek

As Above So Below
Well I'm 250 miles inland so I'm probably fine, we will get some wind and rain though...
 

Dundee

Fading day by day.
You better get whatever you need before it hits.
We are all thinking of you 22, I know I am. Keep us posted when you can. Be safe, If you need anything. everything is possible. Love from all your friends here at he Last Homely House.
 

nivek

As Above So Below
We are evacuating. I fear there will be nothing left to return home to. :(

Hope you're out of the way of this storm, let us know when you can that you're okay...:)

If you need anything don't hesitate to ask...
 

Caeldeth

Noble
Well I'm 250 miles inland so I'm probably fine, we will get some wind and rain though...

Where are you located? What town? I'll let you know what impact you will get. 250 miles inland could still bring it into your backyard as a cat 3 depending on your location.
 

nivek

As Above So Below
Where are you located? What town? I'll let you know what impact you will get. 250 miles inland could still bring it into your backyard as a cat 3 depending on your location.

Near Winston-Salem NC...
 

Caeldeth

Noble
Near Winston-Salem NC...

You are very, very close to the high risk area. If it makes a north turn sooner than expected you will be in the very high risk area. Please keep an eye on your forecast. Right now I am saying your going to lots of rain and potential tropical storm force winds. An earlier shift north will make your impact much more severe. I'll keep you updated.
 
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Caeldeth

Noble
Good thing for you nivek is that it has been trending more west which could keep you away for the bad shit. But more are showing a devastating landfall in Florida.
 

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