The Ukrainian situation in its war with Russia is looking rather grim. Their frontline seems to be collapsing in the face of a slow, but steady, Russian offensive. A much larger offensive is feared in the summer. The Ukrainian ammunition situation is so dire that Russian guns are outfiring Ukrainian ones at a ratio of seven-to-one. In January, it was three-to-one. The combined allied forces of the world cannot keep up with Ukrainian ammunition demand, thanks largely to modern just-in-time supply chains of privatized ammunition works. The continent of Europe (and the United Kingdom) has perfected the art of
walking loudly while carrying a small stick.
A lack of ammunition and a hold-up in further U.S. aid for Kyiv is handing Russia an advantage following its capture of Avdiivka.
www.newsweek.com
According to high-ranking Ukrainian officers, the military picture is grim and Russian generals could find success wherever they decide to focus their upcoming offensive.
www.politico.eu
As I said in this thread more than a year ago now, following Ukraine's successful counter-offensive and the emergence of the ammunition crisis in its wake:
The least worst option for Ukraine could now be a negotiation merely to freeze the frontlines where they stand, let alone get back to the pre-February, 2022 frontlines, and much less to take back Crimea from Russia.