Wars & Rumours of Wars

nivek

nivek

As Above So Below
Dejan Corovic

Dejan Corovic

As above, so bellow
nivek said:

Philadelphia teen accused of planning national terrorist attack​

A Philadelphia teenager was plotting a national attack with members of the global terrorism group Katibat al Tawhid wal Jihad, which is affiliated with Al Qaeda, and had access to a "significant" number of guns and was working on building a bomb, authorities said.

The 17-year-old, who wasn't named during Monday's press conference, was arrested and faces a litany of charges, including possession of weapons of mass destruction and terrorism.

He was in the process of building improvised explosive devices with several undisclosed targeted locations "that were not just in Philadelphia," FBI Special Agent in Charge Jacqueline Maguire said during Monday's press conference.

"Most concerning was the evidence to his access to firearms and was purchasing items and materials commonly for constructing improvised explosive devices," Maguire said. "Among the items he purchased were tactical equipment, wiring, chemicals and devices often used as the detonators."

The purchases were made in the last couple of weeks, which quickly escalated this case, Maguire said.

Armored police vehicles and tactical teams swarmed the teenager's West Philadelphia home Friday.

The sprawling operation with FBI agents and heavily armed law enforcement closed off areas of the Wynnefield section of the city for parts of the weekend.

For almost 72 hours, it was officially described as a "court-authorized law enforcement activity" without providing any other details or context, which gave area residents a sense of unease.

Neighbors told ABC 6 that law enforcement officers were seen patrolling the area for weeks, even months, before swarming the home on Woodbine Avenue.

"The degree of the response, again I was out when it happened, but seeing the pictures, they had armored vehicles and so forth. Seems like the FBI was preparing to experience some violent response or something," David Hauck told the local news outlet.

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Well, its better that he's terrorist then that he's woke!
 
pigfarmer

pigfarmer

tall, thin, irritable
Dejan Corovic said:
Extremely interesting and detailed video produced by renowned British historian Mark Felton about identification of Hitler's and Eva Brown's bodies after fall of Berlin.


View: https://youtu.be/pjM_68mzANk
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Good channel. I'll be waiting for part 2.

Very detailed, more so than anything I'd seen before. I had heard Stalin kept Hitler's jawbone in his office desk drawer for years. IDK if that's really true or not, but if so damn does that make a point - this is one member of Management you do not trifle with.
 
Dejan Corovic

Dejan Corovic

As above, so bellow
pigfarmer said:
Good channel. I'll be waiting for part 2.

Very detailed, more so than anything I'd seen before. I had heard Stalin kept Hitler's jawbone in his office desk drawer for years. IDK if that's really true or not, but if so damn does that make a point - this is one member of Management you do not trifle with.
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Good riddance now that both of them are gone.

Lets not forget that Marcus Aurelius warned us that "One thing one learns from history, is that we never learn from history."
 
pigfarmer

pigfarmer

tall, thin, irritable
Dejan Corovic said:
Good riddance now that both of them are gone.

Lets not forget that Marcus Aurelius warned us that "One thing one learns from history, is that we never learn from history."
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I put 'The Captain' in the movie review thread. If you're watching a video like this I think you'd like the movie. Apart from being a good movie, the period details were correct - it looked right.
 
Dejan Corovic

Dejan Corovic

As above, so bellow
AD1184 said:
The Ukrainian counter-offensive is a bust:

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This assessment is doubtful.
Ukrainian NATO allies want them to launch a spectacular offensive with armed columns of NATO tanks crushing Russian lines. Last time Ukrainians tried that they lost 20% of material and personnel. So, Ukrainian generals learned better and are now "chipping away" at Russian positions corner by corner and they are doing that with more or less daily consistency. If Ukrainians continue with this "chipping away" strategy they'll win, doubly so because Russians haven't announced a new round of mobilization. Even to casual observer it is obvious that Russians are over-stretched, they only have about 5 soldiers per 100 m ( 90 ft ) of trenches.
 
AD1184

AD1184

Celestial
Dejan Corovic said:
This assessment is doubtful.
Ukrainian NATO allies want them to launch a spectacular offensive with armed columns of NATO tanks crushing Russian lines. Last time Ukrainians tried that they lost 20% of material and personnel. So, Ukrainian generals learned better and are now "chipping away" at Russian positions corner by corner and they are doing that with more or less daily consistency. If Ukrainians continue with this "chipping away" strategy they'll win, doubly so because Russians haven't announced a new round of mobilization. Even to casual observer it is obvious that Russians are over-stretched, they only have about 5 soldiers per 100 m ( 90 ft ) of trenches.
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I don't really see much optimism in western expert analysis on the Ukraine conflict at the moment. I don't know where you are getting your assessment from, perhaps you would care to share? The following narratives I am seeing being bandied about:
  • Russia is defending much more effectively than last Autumn, when Ukraine was able to make significant territorial gains (not any since, however).
  • Ukraine overcommitted in the east and undercommitted in the south, where the main objective, Melitopol, lies.
  • Despite devoting many men and much materiel to the liberation of Bakhmut, they failed to re-take it and only made meagre territorial gains in the vicinity.
  • The counteroffensive is likely to be brought to a complete halt by the impending autumn rains, affording Russia the opportunity to shore up defences by the spring.
  • Ukrainian forces committed to the offensive are practically spent, and there is no significant supply of effective reserve units to take over, now that its 82nd Air Assault Brigade has been committed to the fight in the last few days.
 
Dejan Corovic

Dejan Corovic

As above, so bellow
AD1184 said:
I don't really see much optimism in western expert analysis on the Ukraine conflict at the moment. I don't know where you are getting your assessment from, perhaps you would care to share? The following narratives I am seeing being bandied about:
  • Russia is defending much more effectively than last Autumn, when Ukraine was able to make significant territorial gains (not any since, however).
  • Ukraine overcommitted in the east and undercommitted in the south, where the main objective, Melitopol, lies.
  • Despite devoting many men and much materiel to the liberation of Bakhmut, they failed to re-take it and only made meagre territorial gains in the vicinity.
  • The counteroffensive is likely to be brought to a complete halt by the impending autumn rains, affording Russia the opportunity to shore up defences by the spring.
  • Ukrainian forces committed to the offensive are practically spent, and there is no significant supply of effective reserve units to take over, now that its 82nd Air Assault Brigade has been committed to the fight in the last few days.
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Just watching YT videos and constantly seeing that Ukrainians are consistently taking small chunks of territory. These small chunks are all steadily adding up to a large chunk. Its very smart strategy.

As well, attrition rate on both sides was horrendous, although for obvious reasons Ukrainian loses are drastically under-reported.
 
AD1184

AD1184

Celestial
You can see on Live UA Map (liveuamap.com) how the battle lines have changed and what territory has been re-captured (or not). You can see what the lines on the southern front on the 1st of June of this year looked like. The counter offensive is held to have begun on the 4th of June (2023 Ukrainian counteroffensive - Wikipedia):

1692654668224.png
(1st of June)

And here is what they are as of today:

1692654699069.png
(21st of August)

And this is what they are like for the eastern front over the same period:

1692654801791.png
(1st of June)

1692654877754.png
(21st of August)

As you can see, the net gains are pretty slim (the Russians have even gained territory in some parts along the eastern front).

Wikipedia's own live map of the lines of battle shows a similar picture:
View attachment 1692655239588.webp

I am not seeing the major progress that is alleged to have been made. Instead, the overall picture appears to agree with the analysis that the counter offensive has failed. It might be that the Russian lines succumb to a sudden collapse, and they cede territory rapidly, but I do not see how it is likely given the information coming out and the consensus of expert opinion. In order to take advantage of a putative Russian collapse, Ukraine would at least require a ready supply of troops fresh enough to fight, which it seems they don't have at the moment.
 
nivek

nivek

As Above So Below

Vlad's revenge? Wagner boss Prigozhin is feared dead as his private jet plunges to ground and explodes north of Moscow - exactly two months after he led coup against Putin​

A private jet belonging to Russian warlord Yevgeny Prigozhin crashed landed tonight. The plane was seen in a video falling out of the sky in the Bologovsky district in the Tver region. The burning wreckage was seen in a field. It was initially unknown if Wagner chief Prigozhin - known as Putin’s chef and with longstanding links to the Kremlin dictator - was on board. A report from Rosaviatsiya - the Russian aviation agency - said Prigozhin was among the passengers. Reports said seven were on board the Embraer Legacy 600 business jet. At least three died but four could not be located.



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wwkirk

wwkirk

Divine
nivek said:

Vlad's revenge? Wagner boss Prigozhin is feared dead as his private jet plunges to ground and explodes north of Moscow - exactly two months after he led coup against Putin​

A private jet belonging to Russian warlord Yevgeny Prigozhin crashed landed tonight. The plane was seen in a video falling out of the sky in the Bologovsky district in the Tver region. The burning wreckage was seen in a field. It was initially unknown if Wagner chief Prigozhin - known as Putin’s chef and with longstanding links to the Kremlin dictator - was on board. A report from Rosaviatsiya - the Russian aviation agency - said Prigozhin was among the passengers. Reports said seven were on board the Embraer Legacy 600 business jet. At least three died but four could not be located.



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Almost everybody knew he wasn't going to live much longer.
 
nivek

nivek

As Above So Below

Wagner 'had full mobilization plan if Prigozhin was killed' as they vow revenge for 'assassination': MI6 chief says there are signs Putin 'took him out' in plane crash and if he's not dead 'he soon will be'​


Russian outlet Readovka, closely linked with Prigozhin, reported that the private military company had a 'long-established approved mechanism of action in the event of the death of Yevgeny Prigozhin or Dmitry Utkin'. A source confirmed: 'In the event of Prigozhin's death, there is a mechanism for ''full mobilisation'' - regardless of who was at fault for his death.' The extent to which Wagner mercenaries will react to the death of their leader remains to be seen. But Wagner-linked channels posted a series of vengeful messages following the crash, vowing retribution if their leader is confirmed dead and declaring the people responsible 'traitors' to Russia. It comes as former head of MI6 Sir John Sawyers told BBC Radio 4's Today programme : 'All the indications point to the fact that Putin has taken him out, he is reasserting his control. He is making clear to everyone both inside Russia and outside he is not going to brook any challenge.There is a slim chance he (Prigozhin) is not dead, and he wasn't on that plane - he will be soon.'

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nivek

nivek

As Above So Below

New clues suggest Prigozhin plane was bombed: Video shows 'buyers' viewing plane on day it crashed’ as owners say no repairs were carried out despite stewardess revealing last-minute 'maintenance'​

Fresh clues in the mystery surrounding the horrific plane crash believed to have killed Wagner warlord Yevgeny Prigozhin (inset) have suggested that a bomb was planted onboard the private jet. The owners of the aircraft, Brazilian company Embraer, revealed there have been no repairs carried out on the plane since 2019 because of international sanctions that have blocked Western manufacturers from providing parts or support for planes operated in Russia. But this contradicts the testimony of a stewardess (inset), one of the 10 people on board the stricken plane, who told relatives prior to the aircraft's takeoff from Moscow's Sheremetevo airport that the flight had been delayed due to a technical inspection - adding to suspicions the plane may have been tampered with. And adding to those suspicions further, video has emerged (right) which appears to show people posing as 'potential buyers' onboard what is said to be Prigozhin's private jet in the hours before takeoff in a 'serious security breach'.



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