AD1184
Celestial
Where are you getting this ranking of numbers? Britain is demonstrably less well organized in its response than either South Korea or Singapore, for example. Germany is also doing far better.
Shadowprophet
Truthiness
If I am ever wrong, I am usually quick to admit that. Because Pride is a worthless folly,.
I am wrong in the sense that I was harping on Trump this morning, I've come to realize, What other president Has ever done so much for his people like Trump, Every Day He comes out in this, And workes in this, And He is seeing to it, That Americans Don't go broke or penniless in this terrible crisis.
It was a matter of perspective, And I was seeing this in the wrong light. I truly believe, Trump really does care about the American people in ways that no other politician ever has.
I am wrong in the sense that I was harping on Trump this morning, I've come to realize, What other president Has ever done so much for his people like Trump, Every Day He comes out in this, And workes in this, And He is seeing to it, That Americans Don't go broke or penniless in this terrible crisis.
It was a matter of perspective, And I was seeing this in the wrong light. I truly believe, Trump really does care about the American people in ways that no other politician ever has.
coubob
Celestial
Question, If i have covid19 but am not showing no signs how long will i have it. I am waiting on my wifes test, she is in icu intubated from copd and is keeping her in it till the results come back, neither of us showed any signs, to me its like another spell she has had before this is her 3rd time intubated from copd. but if she does have it, and than i get tested and it comes back pos, but i`m feeling fine though it all how long will i keep testing pos?
Shadowprophet
Truthiness
Here, brother, This source is debatable, Because it's not CDC or WHO, However, it is a somewhat reliable source, Johns Hopkins Medical. , You may find your answer here.
I’ve been diagnosed with the new coronavirus disease, COVID-19. What should I expect?
How long does it take to show symptoms after you have been exposed to COVID-19?
Symptoms could appear as soon as two days after exposure to as long as 14 days later, according to the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC). A new study led by researchers at Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health provides a median time of about five days. That is why the 14-day quarantine period is used by the CDC for people with likely exposure to the new coronavirus.
If I get sick with COVID-19, how long will it take before I feel better?
Those with mild cases of COVID-19 appear to recover within one to two weeks. For severe cases, recovery may take six weeks or more. About 1% of infected people worldwide will die from the disease.
After I feel well again, when will it be safe for me to go out in public?
Because tests have found viral genetic material in patients after they've recovered from COVID-19, it is best to assume that you may be contagious for some time and take precautions to avoid infecting others. Be sure to follow the instructions of your health care provider. In general, you can return to normal activities after at least seven days have passed since symptoms began AND 72 hours after fever is gone and other symptoms are improving.
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coubob
Celestial
Thanks Shadowprophet, I`m hoping for the best, their is only 9 confirmed in our county as of today. i`m waiting for a call from icu bout my wife results so i`ll know what i need to do.
Shadowprophet
Truthiness
You are welcome brother, If It's any consolation to you, I have heard that most Covid-19 tests by far come back Negative.
My Dad thought he had it, And went to the doctor and it turned out he had the ordinary Flu, It's so many times over, Much more likely that you would have the Flu A or B right now, It is the season for that.
I hope this brings you some comfort, I Wish for you And your Wife, The Best brother, And also, From my heart, Know, That Even if the worst news is possible. Most people Do pull through this, From MY heart, I wish you guys the best.
Shadowprophet
Truthiness
Some Good News For those who really need that right now,
93-Year-Old Man Recovers from Coronavirus in Spain
93-Year-Old Man Recovers from Coronavirus in Spain
nivek
As Above So Below
The global fatality rate is climbing over 5 per cent of all reported cases mainly because of the UK, America, and Spain along with France (good god, look at what's happening in France) reporting many spikes in fatalities over the last few days, there are no signs of this slowing down anytime soon...
Coronavirus Update (Live): 1,014,296 Cases and 52,982 Deaths from COVID-19 Virus Outbreak - Worldometer
Coronavirus Update (Live): 1,014,296 Cases and 52,982 Deaths from COVID-19 Virus Outbreak - Worldometer
nivek
As Above So Below
There is almost nowhere people can go physically and not risk meeting up the coronavirus, it is practically everywhere as humanity faces this serious crisis with deadly consequences for so many, yes of course this is going to be discussed greatly online, it could be a matter of life or death for many...
...
Spaceman spiff
Noble
On the other hand Finland has more good news, according to statistics April Fools Day had only 6 new confirmed cases(and no this is not an April fools joke), this is a 90 percent drop from the day before. It might not last but ill take it even for a day.
The shadow
The shadow knows!
Trump slams 'partisan investigations' after Pelosi announces committee
no time for games.. Americans are DYING..
no time for games.. Americans are DYING..
You have one of the sharpest analytical minds I've ever encountered so you'll appreciate this - I made some charts to lay it all out:
Without the kinds of countermeasures that we're now employing across the country and around the world, this virus would be spreading at a geometrical rate. Here's what that would look like at a growth factor multiplier of 6 over every 4-day interval:
In 8 days the number of cases would skyrocket from 60,000 cases to 2,160,000 cases, and the daily increase compared to the previous day would remain constant at +56.51%.
But what we're seeing now in the US is much closer to a linear growth rate - here's what a daily linear increase of 20,000 new active cases per day looks like:
In 8 days the number of active cases climbs from 60,000 to 220,000 - 10 times less than we'd see at a geometric rate of propagation. And in this scenario, since the daily increase in active cases represents a smaller percentage of the rising number of cases overall, the increase in the daily percentage of active cases drops each day - the rate of growth (the 4-day delta) reflects this as well.
That's what we're seeing in the growth rate of the virus within the US:
We've almost reached a linear growth rate at this point, and we're quickly heading in that direction. Without our countermeasures we'd be seeing a geometrical rate of increase instead - and that's what we were seeing in the CDC data until about 10 days ago, which is why I was starting to really freak out. But we're rapidly approaching an 8-day delta of 1, which is the tipping point of the outbreak in the US; as of yesterday that growth multiplier was down to 3.91. When it drops by just another 2.91, we'll have a flat number of cases each day, and after that we'll see the number of active cases dropping every day. And at this rate we could see that happen within a week, give or take. Here's a chart of those numbers which makes our progress much easier to see:
But the daily number of deaths is going to keep climbing for another 3 weeks imo, because the death rate trails the growth rate by 2-3 weeks - the people who are going to be dying in 2-3 weeks are already infected or will be soon as the total case rate is still climbing.
I wish I could go into cyronic suspension and then thaw out in a few weeks, because I really don't want to see what's going to happen over the next few weeks. But there's a small modicum of comfort in knowing that we'll be rounding the bend with this nightmarish national catastrophe* as the outbreak here is reaching its most horrible fever pitch.
* And yes this is totally Trump's fault - he scoffed at this outbreak until it was all around us and by then it was too late to put the genie back into the bottle before tens of thousands of Americans were doomed to an unimaginably torturous death.
Attachments
Spaceman spiff
Noble
Unfortunately it seems like this was a statistical error. The Infections have continued, they seem to rising again after flattening for a week.
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AD1184
Celestial
Dejan Corovic
As above, so bellow
Vaccines can't be mass produced till second half of the next year
Are we getting closer to a coronavirus vaccine or drug?
Are we getting closer to a coronavirus vaccine or drug?
pigfarmer
tall, thin, irritable
Eventually the history of this will be written and there's no lack of blame to go around at all levels from DT all the way down to local hospital administrators. Right now in addition to the f*****g deadly virus there's an epic blamestorm brewing, which will undoubtedly be tremendously helpful to all concerned. Which is all of us .....
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AD1184
Celestial
It is interesting that the UK government's planning document, the Pandemic Influenza Strategic Framework, which I linked to previously, mentions as a planning assumption "No vaccine will be available for 4-6 months". It is probably important to point out that this document is for an influenza pandemic, but nevertheless is apparently providing a blueprint for the government's coronavirus response.
Influenza vaccines already exist. The H1N1 swine flu pandemic of 2009 was announced by the WHO in April of that year, and a vaccine was available by November. This accelerated schedule was likely due to the fact that other influenza vaccines already existed. There are no coronavirus vaccines in existence, except the one for the original SARS epidemic of 2002-2004, but work on this was not completed. Although, I do wonder if the mothballed research already performed for that vaccine could help to speed up a SARS-Cov-2 vaccine.
pigfarmer
tall, thin, irritable
Here's a little peek at my neighborhood. I'm in Dutchess, large orange county on the bottom right of the map north of New York City. Population about 300,000.
Click on any county and it'll give the basic stats.
https://syracusecom.maps.arcgis.com...e&legend=true&disable_scroll=true&theme=light
Click on any county and it'll give the basic stats.
https://syracusecom.maps.arcgis.com...e&legend=true&disable_scroll=true&theme=light
nivek
As Above So Below
UK announces 684 more coronavirus victims today: Total death toll reaches 3,605 and more than 38,000 people have now tested positive for the infection as Matt Hancock warns there could be 1,000 deaths per DAY by Easter
There was yet again another record-breaking number of coronavirus fatalities in Britain today, as the outbreak hurtles towards its peak devastation (shown left). Yesterday there were a record 569 new fatalities announced by the Department of Health and today's 684 show a rise 20 per cent larger. The new numbers mean the death toll has risen five-fold in a week, from just 759 last Friday, March 27. Health Secretary Matt Hancock today admitted that next week is likely to be worse still and could top out at more than 1,000 deaths per day by Easter Sunday (paramedics working in London, right).
Britain is still being hammered by the consequences of huge numbers of people catching the coronavirus before the country went into total lockdown last week. Experts say it could take another couple of weeks before the benefits of social distancing start to show in NHS statistics - but they insist that the outbreak will taper off and the daily numbers will start to fall. And insiders say the NHS, by and large, is coping well with the strain so far and there are still intensive care beds and ventilators available for patients who need them. Public Health England said 173,784 people have now been tested for the coronavirus - 7,651 people were tested yesterday, Thursday, a total of 11,764 times.
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There was yet again another record-breaking number of coronavirus fatalities in Britain today, as the outbreak hurtles towards its peak devastation (shown left). Yesterday there were a record 569 new fatalities announced by the Department of Health and today's 684 show a rise 20 per cent larger. The new numbers mean the death toll has risen five-fold in a week, from just 759 last Friday, March 27. Health Secretary Matt Hancock today admitted that next week is likely to be worse still and could top out at more than 1,000 deaths per day by Easter Sunday (paramedics working in London, right).
Britain is still being hammered by the consequences of huge numbers of people catching the coronavirus before the country went into total lockdown last week. Experts say it could take another couple of weeks before the benefits of social distancing start to show in NHS statistics - but they insist that the outbreak will taper off and the daily numbers will start to fall. And insiders say the NHS, by and large, is coping well with the strain so far and there are still intensive care beds and ventilators available for patients who need them. Public Health England said 173,784 people have now been tested for the coronavirus - 7,651 people were tested yesterday, Thursday, a total of 11,764 times.
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